The frontrunners for Ireland’s 33-man squad for the 2023 World Cup

"It's very Irish to think, 'Oh, we have to take it easy now until the World Cup'."

Johnny Sexton [quoted above] and Andy Farrell are both determined to build on Ireland's fantastic Test Series win over the All Blacks. The spin to New Zealand did wonders for the Ireland squad. While the four provinces are back into 2022/23 pre-season training, the Ireland players are all enjoying their well-earned summer breaks. All will be eased back into training and matches with their teams after - as former Ireland blindside Stephen Ferris used to put it - getting their heads showered for a few weeks.

"There’s plenty more to play," insists Johnny Sexton. "There are big home games in November, there’s a Six Nations to play where we still haven’t achieved things we want to achieve in that."

Ireland have South Africa, Fiji and Australia all coming to Dublin in November, followed by the 2023 Six Nations and four World Cup warm-up games, next summer. That means Andy Farrell still has 12 more Test matches before locking in his squad for France 2023. Farrell is his own man, but the record books show most Ireland coaches will have locked in most of their World Cup runners and riders around 18 months out from the tournament starting. More Test debuts are generally handed out in the first two years after a World Cup than in that two-year run-in. This year, Mack Hansen and Michael Lowry were the only players to make full 'Test' debuts. There are a smattering of inexperienced, bolter exceptions over the past four World Cups. Jean Kleyn (3 caps) made the 2019 squad, Tadhg Furlong (2) in 2015, Conor Murray (2) and Fergus McFadden (4) in 2011, while Declan Kidney went with relative newcomers Stephen Ferris (4), Eoin Reddan (3) and Brian Carney (3) in 2007. At this stage, Andy Farrell will already have an idea of the players he will be building his 2023 World Cup squad around. Considering that 43 players [including the 'retired' Michael Bent] were used in New Zealand and that four-more were specifically mentioned as being unavailable due to injury, it will take some doing to whittle this down to 33 men.

The frontrunners for Ireland's World Cup squad

World Rugby announced, last year, that national squad's for the 2023 tournament in France would be extended from 31 to 33. Such a move may now allow coaches to select specialist props and may impact on utility backs' chances of making squads. Still, if you are a player [like Andrew Porter or Finlay Bealham] that can pack down at loosehead or tighthead, and if you [like Keith Earls or Robbie Henshaw] can cover multiple backline positions, your selection odds will always be good. For this exercise, I simply jotted down each position and started going with the automatic selections. These are players I feel are certainties to travel, if injury issues leave them be.

IRELAND SQUAD CERTAINTIES (24)

LOOSEHEAD: Andrew Porter, Cian Healy HOOKER: Rónan Kelleher, Dan Sheehan TIGHTHEAD: Tadhg Furlong, Finlay Bealham SECOND ROW: James Ryan, Tadhg Beirne, Iain Henderson BACK ROW: Josh van der Flier, Caelan Doris, Peter O'Mahony, Jack Conan SCRUMHALF: Jamison Gibson-Park OUTHALF: Johnny Sexton, Joey Carbery CENTRE: Bundee Aki, Garry Ringrose, Robbie Henshaw BACK THREE: Mack Hansen, James Lowe, Rob Baloucoune, Andrew Conway, Hugo Keenan

That leaves nine positions, with two more scrum-halves needed, one for each of the front row positions, ditto for second and back row, another outhalf and a versatile backline player. This is my current read on the best-placed players to fill those final squad positions. Jordan Larmour was there, too, until I realised I had selected 10 probables and needed to trim one. Even with 33 players to chose, this is hard. Gavin Coombes and Ryan Baird are both cover options for second and back row, but I've gone for Coombes as he started the two Maori games while Baird fell behind Kieran Treadwell in the Test reckoning. Ciarán Frawley is ahead of injury-plagued Harry Byrne right now, as he can cover across the backline. Byrne desperately needs a clear run of it, next season, as he is well regarded by Andy Farrell.

IRELAND SQUAD PROBABLES (9)

LOOSEHEAD: Jeremy Loughman HOOKER: Rob Herring TIGHTHEAD: Tom O'Toole SECOND ROW: Kieran Treadwell BACK ROW: Gavin Coombes SCRUMHALF: Craig Casey, Conor Murray OUTHALF: Ciarán Frawley CENTRE: James Hume

Other players that will be pushing for selection

To demonstrate the sort of depth Andy Farrell has within these shores, the following experienced players are not included in my 'frontrunners' 33-man squad - Keith Earls, Dave Heffernan, Michael Lowry, Harry Byrne, Dave Kilcoyne, Jean Kleyn, Ryan Baird, Nick Timoney, Jack Carty, John Cooney, Billy Burns, Will Addison, Will Connors, Niall Scannell, Ross Byrne and Jacob Stockdale. Players that went with the Ireland squad on the New Zealand tour, and will have gained massive experience, include Jimmy O'Brien, Cian Prendergast and Joe McCarthy. Of the younger, uncapped players that could push on, next season, we have the likes of Alex Kendellen, Nathan Doak, Josh Wycherley, Thomas Ahern, Jamie Osborne, Thomas Clarkson, Paddy Campbell, Alex Soroka, Ethan McIlroy, and much, much more.

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• Why you should never underestimate Keith Earls.
• Eddie Jones on Roy Keane’s ‘inspirational’ talk to the England rugby team.
• How Johnny Sexton sets standards in training.

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